MatchRadar
Ecuador
2:1
HT: 1:1
Germany
📍 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford 🧑‍⚖️ T. Penso

Ecuador 2-1 Germany: Match Report

Full Time · Group Stage - 3 · HT 1-1 · 25 Jun 2026

Ecuador edged Germany 2-1 at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford in the World Cup.

On the scoresheet: L. Sane for Germany on 2', set up by F. Wirtz; Leroy Sané for Germany on 2', set up by Florian Wirtz; Nilson Angulo for Ecuador on 9', set up by Pedro Vite; and Gonzalo Plata for Ecuador on 77', set up by Kevin Rodriguez.

The match data shows Germany dominated possession (61%–39%), while Ecuador registered 7 shots to Germany's 11 (3–3 on target). It was a result that flattered neither side evenly — the scoreline ran against the territorial balance.

On the cards: 4 bookings.

⚽ Ecuador
  • Nilson Angulo 9'
  • Gonzalo Plata 77'
⚽ Germany
  • L. Sane 2'
  • Leroy Sané 2'

⏱️ Match Timeline

  1. 2'
    L. Sane Assist: F. Wirtz
  2. 2'
    Leroy Sané Assist: Florian Wirtz
  3. Nilson Angulo Assist: Pedro Vite
    9'
  4. Piero Hincapié Yellow Card
    🟨 43'
  5. 🟨 44'
    Aleksandar Pavlović Yellow Card
  6. 🔁 45'
    Aleksandar Pavlović On: Aleksandar Pavlović · Off: Angelo Stiller
  7. 📺 47'
    Kai Havertz Penalty cancelled
  8. Alan Franco Yellow Card
    🟨 50'
  9. 🔁 60'
    Kai Havertz On: Kai Havertz · Off: Deniz Undav
  10. 🔁 60'
    Joshua Kimmich On: Joshua Kimmich · Off: Malick Thiaw
  11. Enner Valencia On: Enner Valencia · Off: Kevin Rodriguez
    🔁 64'
  12. Alan Franco On: Alan Franco · Off: Angelo Preciado
    🔁 64'
  13. 🔁 64'
    Felix Nmecha On: Felix Nmecha · Off: Maximilian Beier
  14. Piero Hincapié On: Piero Hincapié · Off: Pervis Estupinan
    🔁 71'
  15. 🔁 73'
    Florian Wirtz On: Florian Wirtz · Off: Pascal Groß
  16. Gonzalo Plata Assist: Kevin Rodriguez
    77'
  17. Nilson Angulo On: Nilson Angulo · Off: Jordy Caicedo
    🔁 85'
  18. John Yeboah On: John Yeboah · Off: Felix Torres
    🔁 85'
  19. Nilson Angulo On: Nilson Angulo · Off: Jordy Caicedo
    🔁 85'
  20. Gonzalo Plata Yellow Card
    🟨 89'

📊 Match Statistics

39% Possession 61%
7 Total shots 11
3 On target 3
3 Corners 2
15 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
Statistical Pick
Double Chance X2 — Germany or Draw
Winner : Germany
Confidence
Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: X
1 · Ecuador 10% 3.80
X · Draw 45% 4.20
2 · Germany 45% 1.80
Decimal odds · Bet365 · updated 25 Jun 05:30

Double Chance

Pick: X2
1X55%
1255%
X290%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 4.50
0.5
Over 0.599%
Under 0.51%
1.5
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
2.5
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
3.5
Over 3.566%
Under 3.534%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: No
BTTS Yes1%
BTTS No99%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Ecuador 0.00
Germany 4.50
Goals line -5.5

📊 Form

Ecuador
L D
P: 2 · W: 0 · D: 1 · L: 1
Germany
W W
P: 2 · W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 0

⚖️ Team Comparison

14% Form 86%
0% Attack 100%
67% Defence 33%
0% Poisson 0%
0% H2H 0%
0% Goals 0%
40% Total 59%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Ecuador and Germany in the World Cup offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 10% for a Ecuador win, 45% for a draw, and 45% for Germany. Recent form: Ecuador — LD; Germany — WW. Season averages: 0.00 goals per game for Ecuador and 4.50 for Germany. The model leans towards under 5.5 goals in this game. A clean sheet looks plausible for one side — BTTS leans to No. Recommended pick: Double Chance X2 — Germany or Draw. Please bet responsibly.

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