MatchRadar
Premier League
1 July 2026, 17:00
Fasil Ketema
vs
17:00
Ethiopian Medhin
Statistical Pick
Double Chance 1X — Fasil Ketema or Draw
Combo Double chance : Fasil Ketema or draw and -3.5 goals
Confidence
Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: 1
1 · Fasil Ketema 45% 2.22
X · Draw 45% 2.22
2 · Ethiopian Medh... 10% 10.00
Decimal odds · Fair (model) · updated 30 Jun 07:12

Double Chance

Pick: 1X
1X90%
1255%
X255%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 1.50
0.5
Over 0.578%
Under 0.522%
1.5
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
2.5
Over 2.519%
Under 2.581%
3.5
Over 3.57%
Under 3.593%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: No
BTTS Yes28%
BTTS No72%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Fasil Ketema 0.70
Ethiopian Medhin 0.80
Goals line -3.5

📊 Form

Fasil Ketema
L L W W L
P: 37 · W: 13 · D: 13 · L: 11
Ethiopian Medhin
D D W L L
P: 37 · W: 10 · D: 16 · L: 11

🤝 Head-to-Head

  • 5 Feb 26 Ethiopian Medhin 0-0 Fasil Ketema
  • 13 May 25 Fasil Ketema 0-2 Ethiopian Medhin
  • 5 Feb 25 Ethiopian Medhin 0-1 Fasil Ketema
  • 9 Mar 24 Ethiopian Medhin 0-2 Fasil Ketema
  • 13 Oct 23 Fasil Ketema 1-1 Ethiopian Medhin
  • 15 Dec 22 Ethiopian Medhin 0-0 Fasil Ketema

⚖️ Team Comparison

55% Form 45%
67% Attack 33%
56% Defence 44%
47% Poisson 53%
62% H2H 38%
57% Goals 43%
57% Total 42%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Fasil Ketema and Ethiopian Medhin in the Premier League offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 45% for a Fasil Ketema win, 45% for a draw, and 10% for Ethiopian Medhin. Recent form: Fasil Ketema — LLWWL; Ethiopian Medhin — DDWLL. Season averages: 0.70 goals per game for Fasil Ketema and 0.80 for Ethiopian Medhin. Across the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Fasil Ketema leads with 2 wins to 2 for Ethiopian Medhin, with 3 draws. The model leans towards under 3.5 goals in this game. A clean sheet looks plausible for one side — BTTS leans to No. Recommended pick: Double Chance 1X — Fasil Ketema or Draw. Please bet responsibly.

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