MatchRadar
Ligi kuu Bara
13 June 2026, 13:00
Mbeya City
vs
13:00
Mtibwa Sugar
📍 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
Statistical Pick
Double Chance 1X — Mbeya City or Draw
Double chance : Mbeya City or draw
Confidence
Low · 50%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: 1
1 · Mbeya City 35% 2.86
X · Draw 35% 2.86
2 · Mtibwa Sugar 30% 3.33
Decimal odds · Fair (model) · updated 12 Jun 02:12

Double Chance

Pick: 1X
1X70%
1265%
X265%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 1.70
0.5
Over 0.582%
Under 0.518%
1.5
Over 1.551%
Under 1.549%
2.5
Over 2.524%
Under 2.576%
3.5
Over 3.59%
Under 3.591%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: No
BTTS Yes33%
BTTS No67%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Mbeya City 0.80
Mtibwa Sugar 0.90
Goals line -1.5

📊 Form

Mbeya City
W L L D L
P: 25 · W: 5 · D: 7 · L: 13
Mtibwa Sugar
L L W L D
P: 25 · W: 6 · D: 9 · L: 10

🤝 Head-to-Head

  • 21 Jan 26 Mtibwa Sugar 2-1 Mbeya City
  • 22 Jan 23 Mbeya City 1-0 Mtibwa Sugar
  • 2 Oct 22 Mtibwa Sugar 2-2 Mbeya City
  • 7 May 22 Mtibwa Sugar 1-0 Mbeya City
  • 20 Nov 21 Mbeya City 3-1 Mtibwa Sugar
  • 18 May 21 Mtibwa Sugar 2-0 Mbeya City

⚖️ Team Comparison

50% Form 50%
36% Attack 64%
57% Defence 43%
59% Poisson 41%
50% H2H 50%
54% Goals 46%
51% Total 49%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Mbeya City and Mtibwa Sugar in the Ligi kuu Bara offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 35% for a Mbeya City win, 35% for a draw, and 30% for Mtibwa Sugar. Recent form: Mbeya City — WLLDL; Mtibwa Sugar — LLWLD. Season averages: 0.80 goals per game for Mbeya City and 0.90 for Mtibwa Sugar. Across the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Mbeya City leads with 3 wins to 3 for Mtibwa Sugar, with 4 draws. The model leans towards under 1.5 goals in this game. A clean sheet looks plausible for one side — BTTS leans to No. Recommended pick: Double Chance 1X — Mbeya City or Draw. Please bet responsibly.

More from Ligi kuu Bara