Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction | World Cup | 1 July 2026, 02:00

World Cup · Round of 32

1 July 2026, 02:00

Mexico

02:00

Ecuador

Statistical Pick

Double Chance 1X — Mexico or Draw

Combo Double chance : Mexico or draw and -3.5 goals

Confidence

Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: 1

1 · Mexico 45% 2.22

X · Draw 45% 2.22

2 · Ecuador 10% 10.00

Decimal odds · Fair (model) · updated 28 Jun 05:30

Double Chance

Pick: 1X

1X90%

1255%

X255%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 2.70

0.5

Over 0.593%

Under 0.57%

1.5

Over 1.575%

Under 1.525%

2.5

Over 2.551%

Under 2.549%

3.5

Over 3.529%

Under 3.571%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: No

BTTS Yes44%

BTTS No56%

Your call:

1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Mexico 2.00

Ecuador 0.70

Goals line -3.5

📊 Form

Mexico

W W W

P: 3 · W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 0

Ecuador

L D W

P: 3 · W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 1

🤝 Head-to-Head

15 Oct 25 Mexico 1-1 Ecuador
1 Jul 24 Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
5 Jun 22 Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
28 Oct 21 Mexico 2-3 Ecuador
9 Jun 19 Mexico 3-2 Ecuador
19 Jun 15 Mexico 1-2 Ecuador

⚖️ Team Comparison

69% Form 31%

75% Attack 25%

100% Defence 0%

100% Poisson 0%

50% H2H 50%

50% Goals 50%

61% Total 39%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Mexico and Ecuador in the World Cup offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 45% for a Mexico win, 45% for a draw, and 10% for Ecuador. Recent form: Mexico — WWW; Ecuador — LDW. Season averages: 2.00 goals per game for Mexico and 0.70 for Ecuador. Across the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mexico leads with 1 wins to 2 for Ecuador, with 3 draws. The model leans towards under 3.5 goals in this game. A clean sheet looks plausible for one side — BTTS leans to No. Recommended pick: Double Chance 1X — Mexico or Draw. Please bet responsibly.