MatchRadar
World Cup
3 July 2026, 00:00
Portugal
vs
00:00
Croatia
Statistical Pick
Double Chance 1X — Portugal or Draw
Double chance : Portugal or draw
Confidence
Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: 1
1 · Portugal 45% 2.22
X · Draw 45% 2.22
2 · Croatia 10% 10.00
Decimal odds · Fair (model) · updated 28 Jun 05:30

Double Chance

Pick: 1X
1X90%
1255%
X255%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 3.70
0.5
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
1.5
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
2.5
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
3.5
Over 3.551%
Under 3.549%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: Yes
BTTS Yes71%
BTTS No29%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Portugal 2.00
Croatia 1.70
Goals line -3.5

📊 Form

Portugal
D W D
P: 3 · W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 0
Croatia
L W W
P: 3 · W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 1

🤝 Head-to-Head

  • 18 Nov 24 Croatia 1-1 Portugal
  • 5 Sep 24 Portugal 2-1 Croatia
  • 8 Jun 24 Portugal 1-2 Croatia
  • 17 Nov 20 Croatia 2-3 Portugal
  • 5 Sep 20 Portugal 4-1 Croatia
  • 30 Mar 20 Croatia - Portugal

⚖️ Team Comparison

45% Form 55%
55% Attack 45%
83% Defence 17%
84% Poisson 16%
71% H2H 29%
61% Goals 39%
66% Total 33%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Portugal and Croatia in the World Cup offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 45% for a Portugal win, 45% for a draw, and 10% for Croatia. Recent form: Portugal — DWD; Croatia — LWW. Season averages: 2.00 goals per game for Portugal and 1.70 for Croatia. Across the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Portugal leads with 4 wins to 1 for Croatia, with 2 draws. The model leans towards under 3.5 goals in this game. Both teams look likely to find the net (BTTS — Yes). Recommended pick: Double Chance 1X — Portugal or Draw. Please bet responsibly.

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