Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United Prediction | USL Championship | 21 June 2026, 05:00

USL Championship · Group Stage

21 June 2026, 05:00

Sacramento Republic

05:00

New Mexico United

📍 Heart Health Park 🧑‍⚖️ N. Bensalah

Statistical Pick

Double Chance 1X — Sacramento Republic or Draw

Combo Double chance : Sacramento Republic or draw and -3.5 goals

Confidence

Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: 1

1 · Sacramento Rep... 45% 1.75

X · Draw 45% 3.40

2 · New Mexico Uni... 10% 3.90

Decimal odds · Bet365 · updated 20 Jun 01:12

Double Chance

Pick: 1X

1X90%

1255%

X255%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 2.30

0.5

Over 0.590%

Under 0.510%

1.5

Over 1.567%

Under 1.533%

2.5

Over 2.540%

Under 2.560%

3.5

Over 3.520%

Under 3.580%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: No

BTTS Yes47%

BTTS No53%

Your call:

1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Sacramento Republic 1.20

New Mexico United 1.10

Goals line -3.5

📊 Form

Sacramento Republic

D W L L W

P: 11 · W: 4 · D: 4 · L: 3

New Mexico United

W L W D D

P: 11 · W: 4 · D: 3 · L: 4

🤝 Head-to-Head

31 Aug 25 New Mexico United 0-2 Sacramento Republic
9 Mar 25 Sacramento Republic 2-1 New Mexico United
30 Sep 24 Sacramento Republic 4-0 New Mexico United
19 Sep 24 New Mexico United 3-1 Sacramento Republic
22 Oct 23 Sacramento Republic 1-0 New Mexico United
21 Sep 23 Sacramento Republic 0-0 New Mexico United

⚖️ Team Comparison

47% Form 53%

55% Attack 45%

30% Defence 70%

80% Poisson 20%

80% H2H 20%

71% Goals 29%

60% Total 39%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Sacramento Republic and New Mexico United in the USL Championship offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 45% for a Sacramento Republic win, 45% for a draw, and 10% for New Mexico United. Recent form: Sacramento Republic — DWLLW; New Mexico United — WLWDD. Season averages: 1.20 goals per game for Sacramento Republic and 1.10 for New Mexico United. Across the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Sacramento Republic leads with 6 wins to 2 for New Mexico United, with 2 draws. The model leans towards under 3.5 goals in this game. Both teams look likely to find the net (BTTS — Yes). Recommended pick: Double Chance 1X — Sacramento Republic or Draw. Please bet responsibly.