MatchRadar
Victoria NPL
28 June 2026, 07:30
South Melbourne
vs
07:30
Green Gully
Statistical Pick
Double Chance 1X — South Melbourne or Draw
Double chance : South Melbourne or draw
Confidence
Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: 1
1 · South Melbourn... 45% 1.40
X · Draw 45% 4.50
2 · Green Gully 10% 5.50
Decimal odds · Bet365 · updated 27 Jun 01:12

Double Chance

Pick: 1X
1X90%
1255%
X255%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 2.10
0.5
Over 0.588%
Under 0.512%
1.5
Over 1.562%
Under 1.538%
2.5
Over 2.535%
Under 2.565%
3.5
Over 3.516%
Under 3.584%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: No
BTTS Yes31%
BTTS No69%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

South Melbourne 1.60
Green Gully 0.50
Goals line -2.5

📊 Form

South Melbourne
L L D L W
P: 17 · W: 8 · D: 1 · L: 8
Green Gully
L L D L L
P: 17 · W: 0 · D: 4 · L: 13

🤝 Head-to-Head

  • 13 Mar 26 Green Gully 0-1 South Melbourne
  • 3 Aug 25 South Melbourne 1-1 Green Gully
  • 25 Apr 25 Green Gully 1-0 South Melbourne
  • 13 Jul 24 Green Gully 0-1 South Melbourne
  • 12 Apr 24 South Melbourne 3-0 Green Gully
  • 28 May 23 South Melbourne 1-0 Green Gully

⚖️ Team Comparison

80% Form 20%
73% Attack 27%
41% Defence 59%
59% Poisson 41%
71% H2H 29%
75% Goals 25%
66% Total 33%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between South Melbourne and Green Gully in the Victoria NPL offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 45% for a South Melbourne win, 45% for a draw, and 10% for Green Gully. Recent form: South Melbourne — LLDLW; Green Gully — LLDLL. Season averages: 1.60 goals per game for South Melbourne and 0.50 for Green Gully. Across the last 10 head-to-head meetings, South Melbourne leads with 7 wins to 1 for Green Gully, with 2 draws. The model leans towards under 2.5 goals in this game. A clean sheet looks plausible for one side — BTTS leans to No. Recommended pick: Double Chance 1X — South Melbourne or Draw. Please bet responsibly.